Einordnung der SWP-Studie „Systemsprenger”
Politischer Stress ist nicht institutionelle Erosion — SWP-Diagnose ohne Regimetest, ohne Schwellen.
Hybrid Warfare Is Already Working
The 2026 hybrid-pivot framing, falsified by RUSI's own corpus. Decision integrity is already eroding.
From Capability Substitution to Decision Control
Decision control under load — authority, coherence, implementability — Europe's transition test.
The Gaza Deadlock Under Great-Power Competition
Russia and China monetise the UNRWA-Hamas deadlock without ownership — three phases of exploitation.
The Deadlock Condition: Institutional Non-Exit for UN, UNRWA, and Donors
The UNRWA system as a structurally closed non-exit equilibrium. No viable exit inside the current frame.
UNRWA Colonna Review: Neutrality Verification Collapse
Colonna Review: procedural form substitutes for evidentiary verification, audit treated as clearance.
North 1990: Structural Complementarity in Gaza
UNRWA's formative resources and Hamas's coercive territoriality couple into a complementary governance.